V8 Predicts

No-vig probability

A no-vig probability is a market price with the sportsbook margin mathematically removed, so the two sides sum to 100 percent.

In plain English

Stripping the vig gives a cleaner read of what the market actually thinks, which is why it is the usual basis for comparing a market price against an opinion or against another book.

Example

Two sides at -110 each imply 104.8 percent together. Removing the margin proportionally puts each at about 50 percent.

Why it matters

Comparing your view against a raw price rather than a no-vig price makes every market look worse than it is, and can hide genuine differences.

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