Open evidence · Closed alpha

Public audit ledger

VS Predicts publishes the evidence needed to audit its recorded evaluation runs, the schedule witness committed for each run, the public model identity used, how an official result settled, and whether exports match their certified digests. It does not publish proprietary probabilities, feature values, weights, thresholds, model artifacts, gate traces, source mappings, training data, raw provider payloads, or execution-timing logic.

Recorded decision-space manifests

Each generation run receives a versioned schedule-witness hash, decision-count summary, Merkle root, prior-manifest link, and CertifiedData certificate. A fresh independent schedule witness is preferred; any declared-inventory fallback is labeled. The pre-event flag is true only when signing preceded the earliest witnessed event and every witnessed kickoff time was valid.

Open manifest feed

Linked settlement receipts

Postgame receipts link the settled selection and grade to the original pregame certificate, final-score provenance class, benchmark record, and CLV formula version.

Open settlement receipt feed

Versioned model identity

Public changes are categorical and immutable. A hiding commitment binds the public release receipt to a private release identity without disclosing model construction, configuration, features, parameters, or training data.

Open model changelog

Qualification and CLV policy

Qualification is defined at a high level without publishing the private threshold matrix. CLV records same-book or executable fallback provenance and an independent sharp-reference benchmark when captured.

Open policy contract

Download the sanitized ledger

These are public audit exports, not raw model data. Every column is allowlisted. The export manifest publishes deterministic SHA-256 digests and the latest CertifiedData verification link.

Download CSV Download JSONL Verify export digest

Latest certified export: 4,590 rows · signed 9/5/2026, 6:00:46 PM UTC · CertifiedData verification

Recent slate manifests

Run	Witness	Decisions	Qualified	No-bets	Pregame complete	Proof
9/5/2026, 5:20:59 PM UTC	Independent	372	0	74	Yes	Verify
9/5/2026, 4:19:40 PM UTC	Independent	374	0	74	No	Verify
9/5/2026, 3:19:11 PM UTC	Independent	426	1	73	Yes	Verify
9/5/2026, 2:21:28 PM UTC	Independent	441	0	74	Yes	Verify
9/5/2026, 1:18:11 PM UTC	Independent	463	0	74	No	Verify
9/5/2026, 12:21:07 PM UTC	Independent	475	0	74	Yes	Verify
9/5/2026, 11:17:31 AM UTC	Independent	477	0	74	No	Verify
9/5/2026, 10:20:49 AM UTC	Independent	477	0	74	Yes	Verify

Recent model identities

EV-8.2-SHARP

The current public model identity was registered. Internal construction, parameters, and thresholds remain confidential.

Effective 8/30/2026, 9:55:46 PM UTC

Recent settlement proofs

Pick 1d0ca096… · WON

same_book benchmark · comparable · sharp reference comparable

Settled 9/5/2026, 11:07:09 AM UTC · Verify receipt

Pick 41e9d470… · LOST